Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Extendicare Inc. (0S9E.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.89 - $52.72$31.45
Multi-Stage$21.72 - $23.78$22.73
Blended Fair Value$27.09
Current Price$14.14
Upside91.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.46%1.17%0.460.460.490.490.470.420.430.430.410.41
YoY Growth---1.02%-4.98%-1.03%4.20%10.87%-0.55%-0.22%3.83%1.44%-0.04%
Dividend Yield--3.54%6.13%7.58%6.24%6.11%7.34%5.67%4.96%4.08%4.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.6410.406.24
Cash Retained (M)42.5742.5742.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.64-10.40-6.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.9432.1736.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)87.7187.7187.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.370.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.370.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.88
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate3.31%4.31%5.31%
Fair Value$20.89$31.45$52.72
Upside / Downside47.72%122.40%272.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.1886.7790.5194.4198.48102.72105.81
Payout Ratio48.82%57.06%65.29%73.53%81.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.6149.5159.0969.4280.5292.4597.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate3.31%4.31%5.31%
Year 1 PV (M)45.8046.2446.68
Year 2 PV (M)50.5751.5552.55
Year 3 PV (M)54.9556.5658.21
Year 4 PV (M)58.9761.2863.67
Year 5 PV (M)62.6365.7268.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,631.721,712.231,795.89
Equity Value (M)1,904.641,993.602,085.93
Shares Outstanding (M)87.7187.7187.71
Fair Value$21.72$22.73$23.78
Upside / Downside53.57%60.75%68.19%

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