Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Banque Cantonale du Jura S.A. (0ROV.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$119.10 - $210.85$157.92
Multi-Stage$146.48 - $160.74$153.48
Blended Fair Value$155.70
Current Price$58.00
Upside168.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.99%2.26%2.251.751.601.201.851.851.851.801.801.80
YoY Growth--28.57%9.38%33.33%-35.14%0.00%0.00%2.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.03%3.25%2.94%2.29%3.57%3.31%3.50%3.11%3.22%2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.233.271.96
Cash Retained (M)23.5323.5323.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.23-3.27-1.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.3020.2621.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.992.992.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.116.777.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.880.880.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.116.777.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.997.658.08
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate1.99%2.99%3.99%
Fair Value$119.10$157.92$210.85
Upside / Downside105.34%172.28%263.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26.1626.9427.7428.5829.4330.3131.22
Payout Ratio10.04%26.03%42.02%58.01%74.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.637.0111.6616.5821.7827.2828.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate1.99%2.99%3.99%
Year 1 PV (M)6.436.496.56
Year 2 PV (M)9.8110.0010.19
Year 3 PV (M)12.7913.1713.55
Year 4 PV (M)15.4116.0216.65
Year 5 PV (M)17.7018.5819.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)376.34395.16414.72
Equity Value (M)438.47459.42481.18
Shares Outstanding (M)2.992.992.99
Fair Value$146.48$153.48$160.74
Upside / Downside152.55%164.61%177.14%

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