Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Scandi Standard AB (publ) (0QVR.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117.02 - $343.85$184.47
Multi-Stage$131.32 - $143.95$137.52
Blended Fair Value$160.99
Current Price$94.40
Upside70.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.75%0.00%2.291.150.061.240.002.001.811.231.641.19
YoY Growth--100.00%1,775.00%-95.06%0.00%-100.00%11.02%47.13%-25.26%37.39%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.85%1.57%0.12%3.48%0.00%3.33%2.94%2.14%3.01%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)310.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)163.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.0038.7523.25
Cash Retained (M)147.00147.00147.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.00-38.75-23.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)85.00108.25123.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.3765.3765.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.301.661.89
LTM Dividend per Share2.492.492.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.301.661.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.794.154.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate3.00%4.00%5.00%
Fair Value$117.02$184.47$343.85
Upside / Downside23.96%95.41%264.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)310.00322.41335.32348.74362.70377.22388.54
Payout Ratio52.58%60.06%67.55%75.03%82.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)163.00193.65226.50261.67299.29339.50359.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate3.00%4.00%5.00%
Year 1 PV (M)180.35182.10183.85
Year 2 PV (M)196.45200.29204.16
Year 3 PV (M)211.37217.58223.92
Year 4 PV (M)225.15234.02243.15
Year 5 PV (M)237.86249.63261.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,532.397,905.208,292.62
Equity Value (M)8,583.578,988.829,409.57
Shares Outstanding (M)65.3765.3765.37
Fair Value$131.32$137.52$143.95
Upside / Downside39.11%45.68%52.49%

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