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Definitive Analysis

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Zug Estates Holding AG (0QPW.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28,128.52 - $56,516.77$52,964.49
Multi-Stage$8,669.45 - $9,492.69$9,073.49
Blended Fair Value$31,018.99
Current Price$2,170.00
Upside1,329.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.46%10.67%44.0041.0037.5044.0044.0028.0025.2222.5719.7917.79
YoY Growth--7.32%9.33%-14.77%0.00%57.14%11.02%11.76%14.02%11.23%11.43%
Dividend Yield--2.15%2.55%2.12%2.22%2.17%1.20%1.51%1.24%1.20%1.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)101.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9918.1210.87
Cash Retained (M)101.58101.58101.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.99-18.12-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)72.6083.4790.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.510.510.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share142.35163.66177.87
LTM Dividend per Share85.0085.0085.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share142.35163.66177.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend227.35248.66262.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$28,128.52$52,964.49$56,516.77
Upside / Downside1,196.25%2,340.76%2,504.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.93154.35164.39175.07186.45198.57204.53
Payout Ratio29.91%41.93%53.95%65.96%77.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43.3564.7288.68115.48145.40178.71189.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)60.2860.8561.42
Year 2 PV (M)76.9478.4079.88
Year 3 PV (M)93.3296.0098.73
Year 4 PV (M)109.44113.65117.98
Year 5 PV (M)125.29131.35137.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,956.154,147.234,345.63
Equity Value (M)4,421.424,627.484,841.27
Shares Outstanding (M)0.510.510.51
Fair Value$8,669.45$9,073.49$9,492.69
Upside / Downside299.51%318.13%337.45%

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