Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Compagnie Financière Tradition S.A. (0QL7.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$763.00 - $2,473.97$1,235.92
Multi-Stage$705.85 - $773.16$738.88
Blended Fair Value$987.40
Current Price$219.00
Upside350.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.73%10.92%5.835.134.764.684.504.414.303.722.910.35
YoY Growth--13.75%7.67%1.81%3.90%1.98%2.65%15.69%27.61%723.92%-82.91%
Dividend Yield--3.16%4.35%4.50%4.44%4.17%4.39%4.36%4.26%4.26%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)229.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)98.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)131.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.8428.6517.19
Cash Retained (M)131.10131.10131.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.84-28.65-17.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)85.27102.46113.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.937.937.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.7512.9214.36
LTM Dividend per Share12.3612.3612.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.7512.9214.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.1125.2826.72
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate3.73%4.73%5.73%
Fair Value$763.00$1,235.92$2,473.97
Upside / Downside248.40%464.35%1,029.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)229.18240.01251.36263.25275.70288.73297.39
Payout Ratio42.79%52.24%61.68%71.12%80.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)98.07125.37155.03187.22222.10259.86275.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate3.73%4.73%5.73%
Year 1 PV (M)116.19117.31118.43
Year 2 PV (M)133.16135.74138.34
Year 3 PV (M)149.03153.38157.82
Year 4 PV (M)163.85170.26176.86
Year 5 PV (M)177.67186.40195.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,859.455,098.245,346.34
Equity Value (M)5,599.345,861.336,133.26
Shares Outstanding (M)7.937.937.93
Fair Value$705.85$738.88$773.16
Upside / Downside222.31%237.39%253.04%

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