Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

VBG Group AB (publ) (0GXK.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$540.87 - $2,619.36$960.65
Multi-Stage$332.87 - $363.65$347.98
Blended Fair Value$654.32
Current Price$314.40
Upside108.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.24%17.67%7.005.505.004.500.004.503.251.751.631.50
YoY Growth--27.25%10.00%11.11%0.00%-100.00%38.46%85.71%7.69%8.33%9.09%
Dividend Yield--2.50%1.77%2.90%3.22%0.00%3.91%2.32%1.31%1.44%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)423.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)181.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)241.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.6852.9331.76
Cash Retained (M)241.80241.80241.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.68-52.93-31.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.12188.88210.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.0025.0025.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.297.568.40
LTM Dividend per Share7.267.267.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.297.568.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.5514.8215.67
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$540.87$960.65$2,619.36
Upside / Downside72.03%205.55%733.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)423.40450.92480.23511.45544.69580.09597.50
Payout Ratio42.89%52.31%61.73%71.16%80.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)181.60235.89296.47363.93438.90522.09552.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)216.08218.13220.18
Year 2 PV (M)248.76253.50258.29
Year 3 PV (M)279.72287.75295.93
Year 4 PV (M)309.02320.90333.13
Year 5 PV (M)336.72352.98369.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,930.847,265.607,613.17
Equity Value (M)8,321.148,698.869,090.56
Shares Outstanding (M)25.0025.0025.00
Fair Value$332.87$347.98$363.65
Upside / Downside5.87%10.68%15.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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