Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Akwel (0F8V.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.86 - $28.86$23.53
Multi-Stage$41.63 - $45.90$43.73
Blended Fair Value$33.63
Current Price$8.24
Upside308.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.19%19.51%0.310.310.480.470.200.310.310.310.210.05
YoY Growth---0.95%-35.69%3.66%130.74%-35.00%0.00%0.00%49.98%300.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.81%1.92%2.77%2.14%0.88%1.53%1.93%0.92%0.73%0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.896.814.08
Cash Retained (M)46.4946.4946.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.89-6.81-4.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.6039.6842.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.8725.8725.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.531.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.531.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.681.841.95
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.19%-1.19%-0.19%
Fair Value$18.86$23.53$28.86
Upside / Downside128.85%185.57%250.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.4553.8053.1652.5251.9051.2852.82
Payout Ratio14.62%29.70%44.77%59.85%74.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.9615.9823.8031.4438.8846.1548.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.19%-1.19%-0.19%
Year 1 PV (M)14.8515.0015.15
Year 2 PV (M)20.5520.9721.40
Year 3 PV (M)25.2126.0026.79
Year 4 PV (M)28.9830.1831.42
Year 5 PV (M)31.9633.6235.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)955.681,005.541,057.47
Equity Value (M)1,077.221,131.311,187.59
Shares Outstanding (M)25.8725.8725.87
Fair Value$41.63$43.73$45.90
Upside / Downside405.28%430.65%457.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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