Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Energiekontor AG (0E9V.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$660.35 - $1,545.86$1,448.69
Multi-Stage$224.89 - $246.34$235.42
Blended Fair Value$842.06
Current Price$43.75
Upside1,824.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.56%8.55%1.191.000.900.810.410.410.620.830.830.63
YoY Growth--19.34%10.89%11.40%97.55%-1.11%-33.86%-25.06%-0.10%33.04%19.78%
Dividend Yield--2.42%1.20%1.17%1.14%0.70%1.95%4.71%5.86%5.51%5.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)109.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.8013.628.17
Cash Retained (M)92.3492.3492.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.80-13.62-8.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.5478.7184.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.0214.0214.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.035.616.00
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.035.616.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.226.807.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$660.35$1,448.69$1,545.86
Upside / Downside1,409.36%3,211.30%3,433.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)109.00116.08123.62131.66140.22149.33153.81
Payout Ratio15.28%30.23%45.17%60.11%75.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.6635.0955.8479.15105.24134.40142.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)32.6432.9533.26
Year 2 PV (M)48.3249.2450.17
Year 3 PV (M)63.7065.5367.40
Year 4 PV (M)78.8081.8384.95
Year 5 PV (M)93.6098.13102.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,836.442,973.453,115.69
Equity Value (M)3,153.513,301.123,454.28
Shares Outstanding (M)14.0214.0214.02
Fair Value$224.89$235.42$246.34
Upside / Downside414.04%438.10%463.07%

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