Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ISC Co., Ltd. (095340.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42,192.13 - $90,098.68$60,043.03
Multi-Stage$31,469.88 - $34,332.43$32,875.41
Blended Fair Value$46,459.22
Current Price$77,800.00
Upside-40.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS14.89%0.00%197.65482.93152.72100.7133.5798.750.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---59.07%216.22%51.64%200.00%-66.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.38%0.51%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46,183.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,576.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)29,607.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,236.755,772.973,463.78
Cash Retained (M)29,607.7729,607.7729,607.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,236.75-5,772.97-3,463.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,371.0123,834.7926,143.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.7120.7120.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share983.771,151.051,262.57
LTM Dividend per Share800.50800.50800.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share983.771,151.051,262.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,784.281,951.552,063.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42,192.13$60,043.03$90,098.68
Upside / Downside-45.77%-22.82%15.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46,183.7649,185.7152,382.7855,787.6659,413.8563,275.7665,174.03
Payout Ratio35.89%46.71%57.53%68.36%79.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,576.0022,976.1830,138.3438,134.5247,042.8756,948.1860,285.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20,698.5520,894.7421,090.94
Year 2 PV (M)24,459.2824,925.1625,395.43
Year 3 PV (M)27,880.7628,681.1229,496.65
Year 4 PV (M)30,984.3432,175.9133,401.52
Year 5 PV (M)33,790.1735,422.2537,116.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)513,833.68538,652.04564,420.26
Equity Value (M)651,646.77680,751.21710,921.58
Shares Outstanding (M)20.7120.7120.71
Fair Value$31,469.88$32,875.41$34,332.43
Upside / Downside-59.55%-57.74%-55.87%

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