Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co., Ltd. (009540.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$209,757.10 - $323,168.20$262,502.26
Multi-Stage$460,640.50 - $507,478.54$483,597.55
Blended Fair Value$373,049.91
Current Price$366,000.00
Upside1.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-37.66%14.0942.3138.3151.14125.480.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---66.69%10.44%-25.08%-59.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.04%0.05%0.06%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,684,653.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)433,974.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,250,678.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)336,930.67210,581.67126,349.00
Cash Retained (M)1,250,678.551,250,678.551,250,678.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-336,930.67-210,581.67-126,349.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)913,747.871,040,096.871,124,329.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.7373.7373.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share12,392.3614,105.9315,248.30
LTM Dividend per Share5,885.625,885.625,885.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share12,392.3614,105.9315,248.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend18,277.9919,991.5521,133.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$209,757.10$262,502.26$323,168.20
Upside / Downside-42.69%-28.28%-11.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,684,653.361,667,806.831,651,128.761,634,617.471,618,271.301,602,088.581,650,151.24
Payout Ratio25.76%38.61%51.46%64.30%77.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)433,974.82643,913.28849,609.581,051,127.571,248,530.231,441,879.731,526,389.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)598,283.72604,388.66610,493.59
Year 2 PV (M)733,464.35748,509.38763,707.15
Year 3 PV (M)843,130.57869,204.95895,811.44
Year 4 PV (M)930,504.06969,069.101,008,820.66
Year 5 PV (M)998,453.971,050,445.781,104,581.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,861,375.5431,416,326.6533,035,389.44
Equity Value (M)33,965,212.2135,657,944.5237,418,803.55
Shares Outstanding (M)73.7373.7373.73
Fair Value$460,640.50$483,597.55$507,478.54
Upside / Downside25.86%32.13%38.66%

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