Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sempio Company (007540.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50,342.50 - $74,905.29$62,047.66
Multi-Stage$100,922.69 - $111,265.55$105,991.62
Blended Fair Value$84,019.64
Current Price$47,650.00
Upside76.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.91%-0.46%429.09592.89449.14449.14449.17449.11723.58453.81449.93449.54
YoY Growth---27.63%32.01%0.00%-0.01%0.01%-37.93%59.45%0.86%0.09%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.07%1.19%0.87%0.95%0.84%1.50%2.03%1.47%1.22%2.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,564.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)864.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,699.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,512.831,570.52942.31
Cash Retained (M)11,699.4411,699.4411,699.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,512.83-1,570.52-942.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,186.6110,128.9210,757.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.022.022.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,558.555,026.145,337.86
LTM Dividend per Share429.09429.09429.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,558.555,026.145,337.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,987.645,455.235,766.95
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate-2.46%-1.46%-0.46%
Fair Value$50,342.50$62,047.66$74,905.29
Upside / Downside5.65%30.22%57.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,564.1712,380.1312,198.7912,020.1011,844.0311,670.5412,020.66
Payout Ratio6.88%23.51%40.13%56.75%73.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)864.722,910.074,895.316,821.778,690.7310,503.4911,119.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate-2.46%-1.46%-0.46%
Year 1 PV (M)2,687.112,714.662,742.21
Year 2 PV (M)4,173.914,259.944,346.84
Year 3 PV (M)5,370.835,537.735,708.05
Year 4 PV (M)6,318.056,581.176,852.42
Year 5 PV (M)7,050.857,419.797,804.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)177,783.70187,086.33196,774.36
Equity Value (M)203,384.45213,599.61224,227.89
Shares Outstanding (M)2.022.022.02
Fair Value$100,922.69$105,991.62$111,265.55
Upside / Downside111.80%122.44%133.51%

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