Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Tech-Bank Food Co., Ltd. (002124.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.19 - $33.71$12.05
Multi-Stage$3.52 - $3.85$3.68
Blended Fair Value$7.87
Current Price$2.92
Upside169.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.83%9.11%0.070.080.130.420.050.040.060.050.040.03
YoY Growth---9.22%-37.26%-69.49%703.14%36.93%-39.73%21.92%45.20%11.66%5.02%
Dividend Yield--2.35%2.41%2.19%4.74%0.44%0.48%0.49%1.35%0.73%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)376.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)276.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.3347.0828.25
Cash Retained (M)276.47276.47276.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.33-47.08-28.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)201.14229.39248.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,222.542,222.542,222.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.19$12.05$33.71
Upside / Downside111.98%312.58%1,054.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)376.67401.16427.23455.00484.58516.07531.56
Payout Ratio26.60%39.28%51.96%64.64%77.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.20157.58221.99294.11374.68464.47491.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)144.79146.16147.53
Year 2 PV (M)187.42190.99194.59
Year 3 PV (M)228.16234.71241.38
Year 4 PV (M)267.06277.33287.90
Year 5 PV (M)304.20318.89334.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,693.667,016.967,352.64
Equity Value (M)7,825.288,185.048,558.19
Shares Outstanding (M)2,222.542,222.542,222.54
Fair Value$3.52$3.68$3.85
Upside / Downside20.58%26.12%31.87%

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