Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sinoma Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (002080.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$177.37 - $208.98$195.84
Multi-Stage$389.29 - $427.36$407.97
Blended Fair Value$301.91
Current Price$34.02
Upside787.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.59%26.57%0.720.890.990.790.630.440.290.270.310.28
YoY Growth---18.93%-9.97%25.82%26.13%42.82%50.02%9.09%-12.47%7.82%312.91%
Dividend Yield--4.86%5.67%4.11%3.25%2.68%3.85%2.58%2.62%3.24%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,763.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)824.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)939.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)352.66220.41132.25
Cash Retained (M)939.18939.18939.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-352.66-220.41-132.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)586.52718.77806.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,678.051,678.051,678.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.430.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.430.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate-19.19%-19.19%-19.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$177.37$195.84$208.98
Upside / Downside421.38%475.67%514.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,763.291,877.911,999.972,129.972,268.412,415.862,488.34
Payout Ratio46.74%55.39%64.04%72.69%81.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)824.111,040.171,280.831,548.381,845.302,174.282,301.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-19.19%-19.19%-19.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,275.031,287.121,299.20
Year 2 PV (M)1,924.541,961.201,998.20
Year 3 PV (M)2,851.892,933.763,017.18
Year 4 PV (M)4,166.214,326.434,491.23
Year 5 PV (M)6,017.396,308.036,609.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)637,007.58667,775.29699,720.54
Equity Value (M)653,242.64684,591.82717,136.15
Shares Outstanding (M)1,678.051,678.051,678.05
Fair Value$389.29$407.97$427.36
Upside / Downside1,044.29%1,099.20%1,156.21%

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