Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Daewon Kang Up Co., Ltd. (000430.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,408.12 - $2,113.33$1,742.15
Multi-Stage$3,461.58 - $3,805.08$3,629.96
Blended Fair Value$2,686.05
Current Price$3,735.00
Upside-28.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.83%-0.82%142.09137.31205.20130.24147.73148.14148.93163.47165.74154.24
YoY Growth--3.48%-33.08%57.56%-11.84%-0.27%-0.53%-8.89%-1.37%7.45%-0.01%
Dividend Yield--4.03%2.65%5.93%4.06%3.30%5.31%3.15%3.53%3.50%3.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,480.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,322.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,158.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,096.181,310.12786.07
Cash Retained (M)1,158.061,158.061,158.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,096.18-1,310.12-786.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)-938.12-152.05371.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.8461.8461.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share-15.17-2.466.02
LTM Dividend per Share150.75150.75150.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-15.17-2.466.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend135.58148.30156.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.82%-1.82%-0.82%
Fair Value$1,408.12$1,742.15$2,113.33
Upside / Downside-62.30%-53.36%-43.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,480.9210,290.4010,103.349,919.689,739.369,562.319,849.18
Payout Ratio88.95%89.16%89.37%89.58%89.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,322.869,174.989,029.408,886.088,744.988,606.089,110.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.82%-1.82%-0.82%
Year 1 PV (M)8,524.098,611.808,699.51
Year 2 PV (M)7,793.717,954.938,117.80
Year 3 PV (M)7,125.877,348.127,574.94
Year 4 PV (M)6,515.226,787.567,068.34
Year 5 PV (M)5,956.876,269.736,595.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)178,152.43187,508.92197,254.45
Equity Value (M)214,068.20224,481.04235,310.63
Shares Outstanding (M)61.8461.8461.84
Fair Value$3,461.58$3,629.96$3,805.08
Upside / Downside-7.32%-2.81%1.88%

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