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PT Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk (IMAS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,342.84 - $20,405.61$15,400.98
Multi-Stage$2,583.22 - $2,822.95$2,700.91
Blended Fair Value$9,050.94
Current Price$1,265.00
Upside615.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS37.16%11.46%45.7741.0338.2214.6910.719.4319.8822.6914.1110.86
YoY Growth--11.54%7.36%160.11%37.19%13.62%-52.58%-12.36%60.72%29.92%-29.76%
Dividend Yield--5.58%2.85%3.28%1.90%0.99%2.36%0.75%1.87%1.24%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)409,835.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)253,358.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)156,477.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81,967.0051,229.3830,737.63
Cash Retained (M)156,477.00156,477.00156,477.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-81,967.00-51,229.38-30,737.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)74,510.00105,247.63125,739.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,994.293,994.293,994.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.6526.3531.48
LTM Dividend per Share63.4363.4363.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.6526.3531.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend82.0889.7894.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,342.84$15,400.98$20,405.61
Upside / Downside322.36%1,117.47%1,513.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)409,835.00436,474.28464,845.10495,060.03527,238.94561,509.47578,354.75
Payout Ratio61.82%67.46%73.09%78.73%84.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)253,358.00294,426.39339,763.22389,749.90444,799.34505,358.52534,978.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)272,273.65274,854.44277,435.24
Year 2 PV (M)290,558.87296,093.20301,679.75
Year 3 PV (M)308,228.42317,076.55326,092.41
Year 4 PV (M)325,296.72337,806.72350,674.11
Year 5 PV (M)341,777.94358,285.95375,425.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,780,007.199,204,084.839,644,392.90
Equity Value (M)10,318,142.8010,788,201.6811,275,700.16
Shares Outstanding (M)3,994.293,994.293,994.29
Fair Value$2,583.22$2,700.91$2,822.95
Upside / Downside104.21%113.51%123.16%

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