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F.N.B. Corporation (FNB-PE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.68 - $86.69$49.97
Multi-Stage$22.64 - $24.72$23.66
Blended Fair Value$36.82
Current Price$16.11
Upside128.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.19%7.98%0.480.480.470.430.430.430.430.390.280.23
YoY Growth--0.57%1.75%9.62%-0.64%0.00%0.00%9.79%40.20%20.69%4.05%
Dividend Yield--3.58%3.46%4.05%3.45%3.40%5.86%3.94%2.92%1.89%1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)506.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)175.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)331.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)101.3063.3137.99
Cash Retained (M)331.52331.52331.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-101.30-63.31-37.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)230.21268.20293.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)363.56363.56363.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.740.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.740.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.111.221.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.68$49.97$86.69
Upside / Downside102.86%210.20%438.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)506.52539.44574.50611.84651.61693.97714.79
Payout Ratio34.55%45.64%56.73%67.82%78.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)175.00246.20325.91414.95514.19624.57661.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)223.55225.67227.79
Year 2 PV (M)268.70273.82278.99
Year 3 PV (M)310.64319.56328.64
Year 4 PV (M)349.52362.96376.78
Year 5 PV (M)385.49404.11423.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,692.107,015.337,350.93
Equity Value (M)8,230.008,601.448,986.57
Shares Outstanding (M)363.56363.56363.56
Fair Value$22.64$23.66$24.72
Upside / Downside40.52%46.86%53.43%

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