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East Resources Acquisition Company (ERES)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.16 - $5.99$5.05
Multi-Stage$6.48 - $7.13$6.80
Blended Fair Value$5.92
Current Price$10.85
Upside-45.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.010.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%84.07%9.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.13%0.07%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.723.572.14
Cash Retained (M)28.1428.1428.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.72-3.57-2.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.4224.5726.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.5448.5448.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.510.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.510.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.520.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.16$5.05$5.99
Upside / Downside-61.66%-53.44%-44.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28.5828.3028.0127.7327.4627.1828.00
Payout Ratio1.55%19.24%36.93%54.62%72.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.445.4410.3415.1519.8524.4625.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.944.995.04
Year 2 PV (M)8.528.698.87
Year 3 PV (M)11.3211.6712.02
Year 4 PV (M)13.4614.0114.59
Year 5 PV (M)15.0415.8316.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)261.17274.77288.94
Equity Value (M)314.45329.96346.10
Shares Outstanding (M)48.5448.5448.54
Fair Value$6.48$6.80$7.13
Upside / Downside-40.29%-37.34%-34.28%

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