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Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.625% (BNH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.58 - $9.69$7.35
Multi-Stage$6.38 - $6.96$6.67
Blended Fair Value$7.01
Current Price$41.23
Upside-83.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.50%-0.90%0.210.190.370.570.390.330.310.290.270.25
YoY Growth--13.53%-50.40%-34.30%46.58%18.24%6.34%5.99%8.21%8.39%7.75%
Dividend Yield--0.60%0.67%1.72%1.85%1.60%2.05%1.80%2.09%2.04%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)996.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)702.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)293.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)199.20124.5074.70
Cash Retained (M)293.67293.67293.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-199.20-124.50-74.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.47169.17218.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,354.362,354.362,354.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.070.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.070.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate2.86%3.86%4.86%
Fair Value$5.58$7.35$9.69
Upside / Downside-86.46%-82.18%-76.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)996.001,034.491,074.461,115.981,159.101,203.891,240.00
Payout Ratio70.51%74.41%78.31%82.21%86.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)702.33769.78841.40917.40998.021,083.501,147.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate2.86%3.86%4.86%
Year 1 PV (M)698.79705.58712.38
Year 2 PV (M)693.37706.91720.59
Year 3 PV (M)686.28706.49727.10
Year 4 PV (M)677.74704.48732.01
Year 5 PV (M)667.94701.04735.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,595.3712,170.0612,767.31
Equity Value (M)15,019.4815,694.5716,394.83
Shares Outstanding (M)2,354.362,354.362,354.36
Fair Value$6.38$6.67$6.96
Upside / Downside-84.53%-83.83%-83.11%

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