Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shatirah House Restaurant Co. (9520.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.22 - $4.82$3.98
Multi-Stage$6.46 - $7.09$6.77
Blended Fair Value$5.37
Current Price$24.20
Upside-77.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-10.63%0.00%0.140.000.000.230.370.250.200.190.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-38.03%50.18%21.92%8.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.58%0.00%0.00%1.09%2.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.711.701.02
Cash Retained (M)3.773.773.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.71-1.70-1.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.062.082.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.0035.0035.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.060.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.060.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.45%7.45%7.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.22$3.98$4.82
Upside / Downside-86.70%-83.57%-80.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13.5713.4413.3013.1713.0412.9113.30
Payout Ratio72.19%75.75%79.32%82.88%86.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.8010.1810.5510.9211.2711.6212.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.45%7.45%7.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9.389.479.57
Year 2 PV (M)8.969.149.33
Year 3 PV (M)8.548.809.07
Year 4 PV (M)8.128.468.80
Year 5 PV (M)7.718.118.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)183.48193.03202.98
Equity Value (M)226.18237.01248.28
Shares Outstanding (M)35.0035.0035.00
Fair Value$6.46$6.77$7.09
Upside / Downside-73.30%-72.02%-70.69%

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