Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

International Ocean Group (7583.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$207.20 - $780.53$348.67
Multi-Stage$654.00 - $722.82$687.72
Blended Fair Value$518.20
Current Price$87.79
Upside490.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.020.430.230.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--139.15%86.10%50,390.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.42%0.57%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)169.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.9721.2312.74
Cash Retained (M)147.38147.38147.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.97-21.23-12.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.41126.15134.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.0722.0722.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.145.726.10
LTM Dividend per Share1.021.021.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.145.726.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.166.737.12
WACC / Discount Rate0.91%0.91%0.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$207.20$348.67$780.53
Upside / Downside136.02%297.17%789.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)169.86168.16166.47164.81163.16161.53166.38
Payout Ratio13.23%28.58%43.94%59.29%74.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.4748.0773.1597.72121.79145.38153.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.91%0.91%0.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)47.1547.6348.11
Year 2 PV (M)70.3971.8373.29
Year 3 PV (M)92.2495.0998.00
Year 4 PV (M)112.78117.45122.27
Year 5 PV (M)132.05138.93146.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,978.8614,706.7715,464.69
Equity Value (M)14,433.4615,177.7015,952.45
Shares Outstanding (M)22.0722.0722.07
Fair Value$654.00$687.72$722.82
Upside / Downside644.96%683.37%723.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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