Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (2057.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$884.03 - $2,112.22$1,979.46
Multi-Stage$320.30 - $349.99$334.87
Blended Fair Value$1,157.17
Current Price$126.34
Upside815.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.56%0.00%6.752.491.591.631.981.531.080.000.000.14
YoY Growth--170.47%56.63%-2.27%-17.91%29.79%41.96%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.71%1.57%0.81%1.01%1.09%0.70%0.53%0.00%0.00%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,824.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,661.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,163.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,764.961,103.10661.86
Cash Retained (M)1,163.801,163.801,163.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,764.96-1,103.10-661.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)-601.1660.70501.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)830.89830.89830.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.720.070.60
LTM Dividend per Share9.229.229.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.720.070.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.509.299.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$884.03$1,979.46$2,112.22
Upside / Downside599.72%1,466.77%1,571.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,824.809,398.4110,009.3110,659.9111,352.8012,090.7412,453.46
Payout Ratio86.81%87.45%88.09%88.72%89.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,661.008,218.898,816.939,457.9910,145.1410,881.6611,519.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7,643.807,716.257,788.70
Year 2 PV (M)7,626.237,771.497,918.11
Year 3 PV (M)7,608.307,826.718,049.25
Year 4 PV (M)7,590.027,881.918,182.14
Year 5 PV (M)7,571.407,937.108,316.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)228,093.21239,110.20250,548.83
Equity Value (M)266,132.96278,243.66290,803.85
Shares Outstanding (M)830.89830.89830.89
Fair Value$320.30$334.87$349.99
Upside / Downside153.52%165.06%177.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 23 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
002293.SZLuolai Lifestyle Technology Co., Ltd.5.90%$0.6198.42%
KLBN11.SAKlabin S.A.5.90%$1.1379.59%
T9Z.DEZumtobel Group AG5.89%$0.2568.81%
4006.KLOriental Holdings Berhad5.88%$0.4091.37%
7231.KLWellcall Holdings Berhad5.88%$0.0898.90%
ALBAV.HEÅlandsbanken Abp5.88%$2.8380.11%
HSPG.OLHøland og Setskog Sparebank5.88%$9.009.64%
TAEE3.SATransmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A.5.88%$0.8249.16%
095570.KSAJ Networks Co.,Ltd.5.87%$269.8946.78%
CONSTI.HEConsti Oyj5.87%$0.6379.88%
DEDI.STDedicare AB (publ)5.87%$2.5059.86%
SUC.BKSaha-Union Public Company Limited5.87%$1.6026.76%
0QQF.LMikron Holding AG5.85%$1.2032.60%
0RNX.LAmbea AB (publ)5.85%$2.1927.21%
3459.TSamty Residential Investment Corporation5.85%$6,816.2884.59%
PLAT.ATThrace Plastics Holding Company S.A.5.85%$0.2485.91%
7229.KLFavelle Favco Berhad5.84%$0.0931.57%
M-II.BKMFC Industrial Investment Property and Leasehold Fund5.83%$0.3544.44%
NOHO.HENoHo Partners Oyj5.83%$0.4829.48%
0QN7.LVaudoise Assurances Holding S.A.5.82%$42.4142.05%
4164.SRNahdi Medical Company5.81%$5.6089.58%
5511.TWOTe Chang Construction Co., Ltd.5.81%$3.7946.23%
PPA.ATPiraeus Port Authority S.A.5.81%$2.3838.50%
WHA-R.BKWHA Corporation Public Company Limited5.81%$0.1957.71%
MULTI.OLMulticonsult ASA5.80%$10.1891.58%
QIMD.QAQatar Industrial Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C.5.80%$0.1448.99%
000791.SZGEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd.5.79%$0.3746.47%
0NFS.LEsprinet S.p.A.5.79%$0.3693.72%
MYS.AXMyState Limited5.79%$0.2670.40%
5299.TWOExcelliance MOS Corporation5.78%$4.1493.57%
8987.TJapan Excellent, Inc.5.78%$8,618.1168.54%
9528.SRGas Arabian Services Company5.78%$0.9877.70%
PLS.AXPLS Group Limited5.78%$0.2556.17%
1104.HKAPAC Resources Limited5.77%$0.1533.87%
9525.SRAlwasail Industrial Company5.77%$0.2085.38%
CBA.AXCommonwealth Bank of Australia5.77%$9.3079.76%
GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.5.77%$2.0117.72%
5138.KLHap Seng Plantations Holdings Berhad5.76%$0.1355.68%
601088.SSChina Shenhua Energy Company Limited5.76%$2.3381.35%
ALI.AXArgo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited5.76%$0.1510.56%
000755.SZShanxi Hi-speed Group Co., Ltd.5.75%$0.2989.22%
EELT.MEEuropean Eltech Public Joint Stock Company5.75%$0.5236.41%
1846.HKEuroEyes International Eye Clinic Limited5.74%$0.1729.90%
9296.KLRCE Capital Berhad5.74%$0.0692.92%
BELA.ATJumbo S.A.5.74%$1.6068.01%
GRP-UNGranite Real Estate Investment Trust5.74%$3.4071.71%
6199.HKBank of Guizhou Co., Ltd.5.73%$0.0624.27%
6581.TWTaiwan Steel Union Co., Ltd5.73%$5.9988.31%
HAIS.JKPT Hasnur Internasional Shipping Tbk5.73%$15.3740.52%
HTSC.LHuatai Securities Co., Ltd.5.73%$1.2668.65%