Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.54 - $327.16$177.95
Multi-Stage$74.33 - $81.31$77.76
Blended Fair Value$127.86
Current Price$131.55
Upside-2.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.53%7.44%0.200.160.160.130.130.110.110.100.100.10
YoY Growth--25.52%0.40%25.30%0.47%18.88%0.29%0.30%8.30%-0.57%0.29%
Dividend Yield--0.23%0.27%0.52%0.54%0.47%0.71%0.68%0.72%0.61%0.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)130.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.1416.349.80
Cash Retained (M)124.13124.13124.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.14-16.34-9.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)97.99107.79114.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.7228.7228.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.413.753.98
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.413.753.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.643.984.21
WACC / Discount Rate8.88%8.88%8.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$113.54$177.95$327.16
Upside / Downside-13.69%35.28%148.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)130.72139.21148.26157.90168.16179.09184.47
Payout Ratio5.04%22.03%39.02%56.01%73.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.5830.6757.8588.45122.77161.18170.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.88%8.88%8.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.9028.1728.43
Year 2 PV (M)47.8948.8049.72
Year 3 PV (M)66.6068.5270.46
Year 4 PV (M)84.1187.3590.67
Year 5 PV (M)100.47105.32110.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,807.771,895.091,985.74
Equity Value (M)2,134.742,233.242,335.39
Shares Outstanding (M)28.7228.7228.72
Fair Value$74.33$77.76$81.31
Upside / Downside-43.50%-40.89%-38.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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