DDM Analysis: UCID.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$199.20 - $308.17	$249.73
Multi-Stage	$465.76 - $511.99	$488.42
Blended Fair Value	$369.08
Current Price	$500.00
Upside	-26.18%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	20.91	15.09	22.86	15.00	19.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	38.54%	-33.98%	52.43%	-21.83%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.32%	1.68%	1.90%	1.07%	1.16%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	88,993.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	70,088.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	18,905.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17,798.60	11,124.13	6,674.48
Cash Retained (M)	18,905.00	18,905.00	18,905.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17,798.60	-11,124.13	-6,674.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,106.40	7,780.88	12,230.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,156.57	4,156.57	4,156.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	1.87	2.94
LTM Dividend per Share	16.86	16.86	16.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	1.87	2.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.13	18.73	19.80
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$199.20	$249.73	$308.17
Upside / Downside	-60.16%	-50.05%	-38.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	88,993.00	88,103.07	87,222.04	86,349.82	85,486.32	84,631.46	87,170.40
Payout Ratio	78.76%	81.01%	83.25%	85.50%	87.75%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	70,088.00	71,368.25	72,615.88	73,831.43	75,015.40	76,168.31	80,632.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	66,381.36	67,058.72	67,736.08
Year 2 PV (M)	62,822.29	64,110.92	65,412.63
Year 3 PV (M)	59,410.68	61,247.99	63,122.81
Year 4 PV (M)	56,145.48	58,472.44	60,871.00
Year 5 PV (M)	53,024.89	55,786.01	58,660.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,638,192.17	1,723,496.64	1,812,318.26
Equity Value (M)	1,935,976.86	2,030,172.73	2,128,121.77
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,156.57	4,156.57	4,156.57
Fair Value	$465.76	$488.42	$511.99
Upside / Downside	-6.85%	-2.32%	2.40%

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3600.HK	Modern Dental Group Limited	6.03%	$0.32	34.31%
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298540.KQ	The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd.	6.02%	$521.44	76.58%
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NZX.NZ	NZX Limited	6.02%	$0.09	77.46%
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ALLAN.PA	Lanson-BCC	6.01%	$1.96	26.09%
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0237.HK	Safety Godown Company, Limited	5.99%	$0.12	71.07%
8986.T	Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation	5.99%	$6,829.90	63.32%
ASX.AX	ASX Limited	5.99%	$3.08	67.16%
MKP.TO	MCAN Mortgage Corporation	5.99%	$1.35	74.01%
0QMU.L	Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A.	5.98%	$6.91	67.79%
8924.TWO	O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.	5.98%	$4.29	80.38%
FMTY14.MX	Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V.	5.98%	$0.93	46.45%
HUMAN.BK	Humanica Public Company Limited	5.98%	$0.30	74.76%
603368.SS	Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd	5.97%	$1.06	53.83%
6069.HK	SY Holdings Group Limited	5.97%	$0.67	97.72%
ASII.JK	PT Astra International Tbk	5.97%	$405.75	50.28%
PXT.TO	Parex Resources Inc.	5.97%	$1.12	86.22%
SB	Safe Bulkers, Inc.	5.97%	$0.29	64.01%
1562.KL	Sports Toto Berhad	5.96%	$0.08	49.23%
8442.TW	WW Holding Inc.	5.96%	$4.19	72.79%
NTV.BK	Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited	5.96%	$1.37	66.11%
WLE.AX	WAM Leaders Limited	5.96%	$0.08	8.04%
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O3P.DE	Österreichische Post AG	5.95%	$1.88	98.14%
PWO.DE	PWO AG	5.95%	$1.75	48.89%
0898.HK	Multifield International Holdings Limited	5.94%	$0.06	9.32%
1155.KL	Malayan Banking Berhad	5.94%	$0.62	72.18%
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NXR-UN.TO	Nexus Industrial REIT	5.91%	$0.47	57.77%

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PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk (UCID.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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