DDM Analysis: TEBE.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$900.17 - $1,381.12	$1,124.49
Multi-Stage	$1,929.71 - $2,126.09	$2,025.96
Blended Fair Value	$1,575.23
Current Price	$2,820.00
Upside	-44.14%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	101.11	147.21	70.59	5.00	4.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-31.31%	108.53%	1,311.85%	25.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	14.14%	19.37%	8.51%	0.70%	1.09%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	127,730.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	27,293.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)	100,436.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	25,546.01	15,966.26	9,579.75
Cash Retained (M)	100,436.80	100,436.80	100,436.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-25,546.01	-15,966.26	-9,579.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)	74,890.79	84,470.54	90,857.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,285.00	1,285.00	1,285.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	58.28	65.74	70.71
LTM Dividend per Share	21.24	21.24	21.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share	58.28	65.74	70.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend	79.52	86.98	91.95
WACC / Discount Rate	6.66%	6.66%	6.66%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$900.17	$1,124.49	$1,381.12
Upside / Downside	-68.08%	-60.12%	-51.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	127,730.04	126,452.74	125,188.22	123,936.33	122,696.97	121,470.00	125,114.10
Payout Ratio	21.37%	35.09%	48.82%	62.55%	76.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	27,293.24	44,377.74	61,117.82	77,518.66	93,585.37	109,323.00	115,730.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.66%	6.66%	6.66%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	41,187.50	41,607.78	42,028.06
Year 2 PV (M)	52,646.35	53,726.25	54,817.11
Year 3 PV (M)	61,973.62	63,890.20	65,845.89
Year 4 PV (M)	69,439.85	72,317.81	75,284.31
Year 5 PV (M)	75,285.71	79,206.01	83,287.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,179,143.31	2,292,616.36	2,410,767.98
Equity Value (M)	2,479,676.35	2,603,364.41	2,732,031.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,285.00	1,285.00	1,285.00
Fair Value	$1,929.71	$2,025.96	$2,126.09
Upside / Downside	-31.57%	-28.16%	-24.61%

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3600.HK	Modern Dental Group Limited	6.03%	$0.32	34.31%
003460.KS	Yuhwa Securities co.,ltd.	6.02%	$162.45	83.00%
298540.KQ	The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd.	6.02%	$521.44	76.58%
6263.TWO	Planet Technology Corporation	6.02%	$7.86	95.87%
NZX.NZ	NZX Limited	6.02%	$0.09	77.46%
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1760.HK	Intron Technology Holdings Limited	6.01%	$0.12	30.56%
5209.KL	Gas Malaysia Berhad	6.01%	$0.26	82.61%
ALLAN.PA	Lanson-BCC	6.01%	$1.96	26.09%
QAMC.QA	Qatar Aluminium Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C.	6.00%	$0.10	74.36%
0237.HK	Safety Godown Company, Limited	5.99%	$0.12	71.07%
8986.T	Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation	5.99%	$6,829.90	63.32%
ASX.AX	ASX Limited	5.99%	$3.08	67.16%
MKP.TO	MCAN Mortgage Corporation	5.99%	$1.35	74.01%
0QMU.L	Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A.	5.98%	$6.91	67.79%
8924.TWO	O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.	5.98%	$4.29	80.38%
FMTY14.MX	Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V.	5.98%	$0.93	46.45%
HUMAN.BK	Humanica Public Company Limited	5.98%	$0.30	74.76%
603368.SS	Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd	5.97%	$1.06	53.83%
6069.HK	SY Holdings Group Limited	5.97%	$0.67	97.72%
ASII.JK	PT Astra International Tbk	5.97%	$405.75	50.28%
PXT.TO	Parex Resources Inc.	5.97%	$1.12	86.22%
SB	Safe Bulkers, Inc.	5.97%	$0.29	64.01%
1562.KL	Sports Toto Berhad	5.96%	$0.08	49.23%
8442.TW	WW Holding Inc.	5.96%	$4.19	72.79%
NTV.BK	Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited	5.96%	$1.37	66.11%
WLE.AX	WAM Leaders Limited	5.96%	$0.08	8.04%
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O3P.DE	Österreichische Post AG	5.95%	$1.88	98.14%
PWO.DE	PWO AG	5.95%	$1.75	48.89%
0898.HK	Multifield International Holdings Limited	5.94%	$0.06	9.32%
1155.KL	Malayan Banking Berhad	5.94%	$0.62	72.18%
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HEN.DE	Henkel AG & Co. KGaA	5.92%	$3.87	41.88%
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Financial Statements

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PT Dana Brata Luhur Tbk (TEBE.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener