DDM Analysis: SYNSAM.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$24.08 - $36.40	$29.89
Multi-Stage	$50.08 - $55.02	$52.50
Blended Fair Value	$41.20
Current Price	$57.60
Upside	-28.48%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.83	1.74	1.75	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	5.14%	-0.78%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.10%	3.00%	4.32%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	407.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	260.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	147.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	81.40	50.88	30.53
Cash Retained (M)	147.00	147.00	147.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-81.40	-50.88	-30.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	65.60	96.13	116.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	145.45	145.45	145.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.45	0.66	0.80
LTM Dividend per Share	1.79	1.79	1.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.45	0.66	0.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.24	2.45	2.59
WACC / Discount Rate	7.11%	7.11%	7.11%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$24.08	$29.89	$36.40
Upside / Downside	-58.19%	-48.11%	-36.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	407.00	402.93	398.90	394.91	390.96	387.05	398.66
Payout Ratio	63.88%	69.11%	74.33%	79.55%	84.78%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	260.00	278.45	296.50	314.16	331.44	348.35	368.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.11%	7.11%	7.11%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	257.34	259.96	262.59
Year 2 PV (M)	253.25	258.44	263.69
Year 3 PV (M)	247.99	255.66	263.48
Year 4 PV (M)	241.79	251.82	262.15
Year 5 PV (M)	234.86	247.09	259.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,048.67	6,363.64	6,691.60
Equity Value (M)	7,283.90	7,636.61	8,003.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	145.45	145.45	145.45
Fair Value	$50.08	$52.50	$55.02
Upside / Downside	-13.06%	-8.85%	-4.47%

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Synsam AB (publ) (SYNSAM.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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