Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Saraswanti Indoland Development Tbk (SWID.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.06 - $133.81$103.71
Multi-Stage$280.08 - $309.22$294.36
Blended Fair Value$199.03
Current Price$93.00
Upside114.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%1.091.090.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.82%1.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37,395.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,002.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)29,393.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,479.094,674.432,804.66
Cash Retained (M)29,393.1629,393.1629,393.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,479.09-4,674.43-2,804.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,914.0724,718.7326,588.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,385.025,385.025,385.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.074.594.94
LTM Dividend per Share1.491.491.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.074.594.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.566.086.42
WACC / Discount Rate4.80%4.80%4.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$80.06$103.71$133.81
Upside / Downside-13.91%11.52%43.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37,395.4737,021.5136,651.3036,284.7935,921.9435,562.7236,629.60
Payout Ratio21.40%35.12%48.84%62.56%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,002.3113,001.7017,900.3022,699.6427,401.1932,006.4533,882.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.80%4.80%4.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12,280.8412,406.1612,531.47
Year 2 PV (M)15,970.4216,298.0116,628.93
Year 3 PV (M)19,129.4719,721.0620,324.73
Year 4 PV (M)21,811.3022,715.2723,647.06
Year 5 PV (M)24,064.5425,317.6326,622.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,414,976.811,488,657.931,565,376.98
Equity Value (M)1,508,233.381,585,116.081,665,131.57
Shares Outstanding (M)5,385.025,385.025,385.02
Fair Value$280.08$294.36$309.22
Upside / Downside201.16%216.51%232.49%

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