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Definitive Analysis

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Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.33 - $7.63$6.46
Multi-Stage$8.53 - $9.36$8.94
Blended Fair Value$7.70
Current Price$49.20
Upside-84.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.290.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.241.400.84
Cash Retained (M)7.027.027.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.24-1.40-0.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.785.626.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.4514.4514.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.33$6.46$7.63
Upside / Downside-89.17%-86.88%-84.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.2011.0910.9810.8710.7610.6510.97
Payout Ratio37.32%47.86%58.39%68.93%79.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.185.316.417.498.559.5910.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.804.854.90
Year 2 PV (M)5.255.365.47
Year 3 PV (M)5.555.725.90
Year 4 PV (M)5.735.976.21
Year 5 PV (M)5.816.126.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)96.13101.13106.34
Equity Value (M)123.27129.15135.25
Shares Outstanding (M)14.4514.4514.45
Fair Value$8.53$8.94$9.36
Upside / Downside-82.66%-81.83%-80.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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