DDM Analysis: QGTS.QA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$15.96 - $59.92	$47.33
Multi-Stage	$8.68 - $9.51	$9.09
Blended Fair Value	$28.21
Current Price	$4.96
Upside	468.70%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	16.66%	6.91%	0.21	0.13	0.12	0.12	0.10	0.10	0.10	0.10	0.12	0.12
YoY Growth	-	-	61.38%	10.55%	3.66%	18.54%	-1.43%	0.67%	-2.58%	-18.49%	4.37%	8.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.58%	3.34%	3.47%	3.23%	3.09%	4.71%	4.75%	6.60%	5.82%	4.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,667.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	787.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)	880.46

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	333.57	208.48	125.09
Cash Retained (M)	880.46	880.46	880.46
(-) Cash Required (M)	-333.57	-208.48	-125.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)	546.89	671.97	755.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,505.17	5,505.17	5,505.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.12	0.14
LTM Dividend per Share	0.14	0.14	0.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.12	0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.24	0.27	0.28
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	4.91%	5.91%	6.91%
Fair Value	$15.96	$47.33	$59.92
Upside / Downside	221.77%	854.18%	1,108.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,667.86	1,766.50	1,870.97	1,981.62	2,098.82	2,222.95	2,289.64
Payout Ratio	47.21%	55.77%	64.33%	72.88%	81.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	787.40	985.14	1,203.52	1,444.29	1,709.32	2,000.65	2,117.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	4.91%	5.91%	6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)	916.22	924.95	933.69
Year 2 PV (M)	1,041.01	1,060.95	1,081.08
Year 3 PV (M)	1,161.86	1,195.40	1,229.58
Year 4 PV (M)	1,278.86	1,328.32	1,379.20
Year 5 PV (M)	1,392.11	1,459.73	1,529.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)	42,016.16	44,057.11	46,176.60
Equity Value (M)	47,806.22	50,026.46	52,330.10
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,505.17	5,505.17	5,505.17
Fair Value	$8.68	$9.09	$9.51
Upside / Downside	75.08%	83.21%	91.65%

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Qatar Gas Transport Company Limited (Nakilat) (QPSC) (QGTS.QA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener