DDM Analysis: PAZ.SN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$532.72 - $824.20	$667.89
Multi-Stage	$1,194.85 - $1,316.49	$1,254.47
Blended Fair Value	$961.18
Current Price	$569.88
Upside	68.66%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.65%	9.87%	30.00	42.00	33.00	17.00	27.00	31.00	30.00	29.00	43.00	22.60
YoY Growth	-	-	-28.57%	27.27%	94.12%	-37.04%	-12.90%	3.33%	3.45%	-32.56%	90.24%	93.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.20%	7.43%	7.60%	5.07%	3.79%	7.36%	3.00%	3.15%	6.68%	5.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16,222.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,250.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)	11,971.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,244.43	2,027.77	1,216.66
Cash Retained (M)	11,971.60	11,971.60	11,971.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,244.43	-2,027.77	-1,216.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8,727.17	9,943.83	10,754.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	283.39	283.39	283.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	30.80	35.09	37.95
LTM Dividend per Share	15.00	15.00	15.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	30.80	35.09	37.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend	45.79	50.09	52.95
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$532.72	$667.89	$824.20
Upside / Downside	-6.52%	17.20%	44.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16,222.13	16,059.91	15,899.31	15,740.32	15,582.92	15,427.09	15,889.90
Payout Ratio	26.20%	38.96%	51.72%	64.48%	77.24%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,250.54	6,257.21	8,223.32	10,149.49	12,036.31	13,884.38	14,698.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,820.10	5,879.49	5,938.87
Year 2 PV (M)	7,114.53	7,260.47	7,407.89
Year 3 PV (M)	8,167.57	8,420.15	8,677.90
Year 4 PV (M)	9,009.31	9,382.70	9,767.58
Year 5 PV (M)	9,666.60	10,169.97	10,694.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	298,827.67	314,388.32	330,590.55
Equity Value (M)	338,605.78	355,501.10	373,076.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	283.39	283.39	283.39
Fair Value	$1,194.85	$1,254.47	$1,316.49
Upside / Downside	109.67%	120.13%	131.01%

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Paz Corp S.A. (PAZ.SN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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