Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$138.05 - $273.98$191.29
Multi-Stage$103.46 - $112.95$108.12
Blended Fair Value$149.70
Current Price$208.14
Upside-28.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.511.150.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--30.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.69%0.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)453.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)85.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)367.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)90.6456.6533.99
Cash Retained (M)367.99367.99367.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-90.64-56.65-33.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)277.35311.34334.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.3056.3056.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.935.535.93
LTM Dividend per Share1.511.511.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.935.535.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.447.047.45
WACC / Discount Rate10.42%10.42%10.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$138.05$191.29$273.98
Upside / Downside-33.68%-8.10%31.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)453.20482.66514.03547.44583.03620.92639.55
Payout Ratio18.80%33.04%47.28%61.52%75.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)85.21159.48243.04336.79441.70558.83591.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.42%10.42%10.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)143.07144.43145.78
Year 2 PV (M)195.60199.33203.09
Year 3 PV (M)243.17250.15257.26
Year 4 PV (M)286.11297.11308.43
Year 5 PV (M)324.73340.42356.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,631.994,855.725,088.01
Equity Value (M)5,824.676,087.156,359.27
Shares Outstanding (M)56.3056.3056.30
Fair Value$103.46$108.12$112.95
Upside / Downside-50.29%-48.05%-45.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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