DDM Analysis: OLVAS.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$173.84 - $521.28	$488.49
Multi-Stage	$81.96 - $89.73	$85.77
Blended Fair Value	$287.13
Current Price	$29.95
Upside	858.70%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.80%	6.29%	1.21	1.23	1.22	1.13	1.00	0.91	0.80	0.75	0.70	0.65
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.70%	0.28%	8.73%	11.98%	10.47%	13.26%	6.50%	7.19%	7.51%	-0.13%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.58%	4.01%	4.09%	3.16%	2.06%	2.49%	2.49%	2.68%	2.60%	2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	54.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	26.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	27.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.88	6.80	4.08
Cash Retained (M)	27.63	27.63	27.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.88	-6.80	-4.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	16.75	20.83	23.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	20.65	20.65	20.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.81	1.01	1.14
LTM Dividend per Share	1.30	1.30	1.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.81	1.01	1.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.11	2.30	2.44
WACC / Discount Rate	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%
Growth Rate	4.98%	5.98%	6.98%
Fair Value	$173.84	$488.49	$521.28
Upside / Downside	480.45%	1,531.03%	1,640.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	54.40	57.65	61.10	64.76	68.63	72.73	74.92
Payout Ratio	49.21%	57.37%	65.53%	73.69%	81.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	26.77	33.08	40.04	47.72	56.17	65.46	69.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%
Growth Rate	4.98%	5.98%	6.98%
Year 1 PV (M)	30.84	31.13	31.42
Year 2 PV (M)	34.80	35.46	36.14
Year 3 PV (M)	38.66	39.78	40.91
Year 4 PV (M)	42.43	44.07	45.75
Year 5 PV (M)	46.10	48.33	50.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,499.90	1,572.71	1,648.33
Equity Value (M)	1,692.72	1,771.49	1,853.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	20.65	20.65	20.65
Fair Value	$81.96	$85.77	$89.73
Upside / Downside	173.65%	186.38%	199.59%

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Olvi Oyj (OLVAS.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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