DDM Analysis: MOSHI.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17.56 - $27.42	$22.10
Multi-Stage	$41.84 - $46.07	$43.91
Blended Fair Value	$33.01
Current Price	$40.25
Upside	-17.99%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.60	0.09	2.54	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	560.00%	-96.43%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.61%	0.16%	5.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	604.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	264.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	340.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	120.90	75.56	45.34
Cash Retained (M)	340.50	340.50	340.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-120.90	-75.56	-45.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	219.60	264.94	295.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	329.94	329.94	329.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.67	0.80	0.89
LTM Dividend per Share	0.80	0.80	0.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.67	0.80	0.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.47	1.60	1.69
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$17.56	$22.10	$27.42
Upside / Downside	-56.37%	-45.08%	-31.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	604.50	598.46	592.47	586.55	580.68	574.88	592.12
Payout Ratio	43.67%	52.94%	62.20%	71.47%	80.73%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	264.00	316.81	368.54	419.20	468.81	517.39	547.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	295.36	298.37	301.38
Year 2 PV (M)	320.32	326.89	333.52
Year 3 PV (M)	339.68	350.18	360.90
Year 4 PV (M)	354.15	368.83	383.96
Year 5 PV (M)	364.38	383.35	403.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)	12,129.47	12,761.08	13,418.73
Equity Value (M)	13,803.35	14,488.70	15,201.61
Shares Outstanding (M)	329.94	329.94	329.94
Fair Value	$41.84	$43.91	$46.07
Upside / Downside	3.94%	9.10%	14.47%

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Moshi Moshi Retail Corporation Public Company Limited (MOSHI.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener