Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $11.85 - $18.38 | $14.87 |
| Multi-Stage | $17.36 - $18.95 | $18.14 |
| Blended Fair Value | $16.51 | |
| Current Price | $28.31 | |
| Upside | -41.69% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 3.40% | 3.81% | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.10 | 1.06 | 0.97 | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.90 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 1.11% | 1.00% | 2.50% | 3.43% | 9.20% | 33.68% | 44.46% | 0.18% | -73.53% | 140.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.03% | 6.18% | 6.44% | 5.81% | 6.38% | 6.99% | 3.63% | 3.35% | 2.31% | 10.64% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,727.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 2,592.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 135.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 545.40 | 340.88 | 204.53 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 135.00 | 135.00 | 135.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -545.40 | -340.88 | -204.53 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -410.40 | -205.88 | -69.53 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 2,222.00 | 2,222.00 | 2,222.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.18 | -0.09 | -0.03 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.18 | -0.09 | -0.03 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.98 | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 0.75% | 1.75% | 2.75% |
| Fair Value | $11.85 | $14.87 | $18.38 |
| Upside / Downside | -58.14% | -47.46% | -35.08% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,727.00 | 2,774.77 | 2,823.37 | 2,872.83 | 2,923.15 | 2,974.35 | 3,063.58 |
| Payout Ratio | 95.05% | 94.04% | 93.03% | 92.02% | 91.01% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 2,592.00 | 2,609.38 | 2,626.57 | 2,643.57 | 2,660.35 | 2,676.92 | 2,833.81 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 0.75% | 1.75% | 2.75% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 2,368.27 | 2,391.78 | 2,415.28 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,163.60 | 2,206.76 | 2,250.35 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,976.39 | 2,035.82 | 2,096.44 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,805.16 | 1,877.90 | 1,952.82 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,648.56 | 1,732.01 | 1,818.81 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 28,618.93 | 30,067.67 | 31,574.50 |
| Equity Value (M) | 38,580.90 | 40,311.95 | 42,108.21 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 2,222.00 | 2,222.00 | 2,222.00 |
| Fair Value | $17.36 | $18.14 | $18.95 |
| Upside / Downside | -38.67% | -35.92% | -33.06% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| TC.BK | Tropical Canning (Thailand) Public Company Limited | 6.05% | $0.30 | 42.33% |
| 8984.T | Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation | 6.04% | $8,653.99 | 81.69% |
| 0R40.L | Rai Way S.p.A. | 6.03% | $0.33 | 99.60% |
| 3600.HK | Modern Dental Group Limited | 6.03% | $0.32 | 34.31% |
| 003460.KS | Yuhwa Securities co.,ltd. | 6.02% | $162.45 | 83.00% |
| 298540.KQ | The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd. | 6.02% | $521.44 | 76.58% |
| 6263.TWO | Planet Technology Corporation | 6.02% | $7.86 | 95.87% |
| NZX.NZ | NZX Limited | 6.02% | $0.09 | 77.46% |
| WLMM3.SA | WLM Participações e Comércio de Máquinas e Veículos S.A. | 6.02% | $1.23 | 40.06% |
| 1760.HK | Intron Technology Holdings Limited | 6.01% | $0.12 | 30.56% |
| 5209.KL | Gas Malaysia Berhad | 6.01% | $0.26 | 82.61% |
| ALLAN.PA | Lanson-BCC | 6.01% | $1.96 | 26.09% |
| QAMC.QA | Qatar Aluminium Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C. | 6.00% | $0.10 | 74.36% |
| 0237.HK | Safety Godown Company, Limited | 5.99% | $0.12 | 71.07% |
| 8986.T | Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation | 5.99% | $6,829.90 | 63.32% |
| ASX.AX | ASX Limited | 5.99% | $3.08 | 67.16% |
| MKP.TO | MCAN Mortgage Corporation | 5.99% | $1.35 | 74.01% |
| 0QMU.L | Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A. | 5.98% | $6.91 | 67.79% |
| 8924.TWO | O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd. | 5.98% | $4.29 | 80.38% |
| FMTY14.MX | Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V. | 5.98% | $0.93 | 46.45% |
| HUMAN.BK | Humanica Public Company Limited | 5.98% | $0.30 | 74.76% |
| 603368.SS | Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd | 5.97% | $1.06 | 53.83% |
| 6069.HK | SY Holdings Group Limited | 5.97% | $0.67 | 97.72% |
| ASII.JK | PT Astra International Tbk | 5.97% | $405.75 | 50.28% |
| PXT.TO | Parex Resources Inc. | 5.97% | $1.12 | 86.22% |
| SB | Safe Bulkers, Inc. | 5.97% | $0.29 | 64.01% |
| 1562.KL | Sports Toto Berhad | 5.96% | $0.08 | 49.23% |
| 8442.TW | WW Holding Inc. | 5.96% | $4.19 | 72.79% |
| NTV.BK | Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited | 5.96% | $1.37 | 66.11% |
| WLE.AX | WAM Leaders Limited | 5.96% | $0.08 | 8.04% |
| 094280.KS | Hyosung ITX Co. Ltd. | 5.95% | $751.76 | 70.97% |
| O3P.DE | Österreichische Post AG | 5.95% | $1.88 | 98.14% |
| PWO.DE | PWO AG | 5.95% | $1.75 | 48.89% |
| 0898.HK | Multifield International Holdings Limited | 5.94% | $0.06 | 9.32% |
| 1155.KL | Malayan Banking Berhad | 5.94% | $0.62 | 72.18% |
| PORT3.SA | Wilson Sons S.A. | 5.94% | $1.11 | 73.49% |
| 009680.KS | Motonic Corporation | 5.93% | $599.08 | 42.49% |
| 3010.SR | Arabian Cement Company | 5.93% | $1.29 | 91.83% |
| PGW.NZ | PGG Wrightson Limited | 5.93% | $0.13 | 70.38% |
| 0GX2.L | Neurones S.A. | 5.92% | $2.49 | 61.25% |
| 4012.SR | Thob Al Aseel Company | 5.92% | $0.20 | 89.05% |
| 9585.SR | Mulkia Investment Co. | 5.92% | $2.01 | 37.97% |
| HEN.DE | Henkel AG & Co. KGaA | 5.92% | $3.87 | 41.88% |
| KKP.BK | Kiatnakin Phatra Bank Public Company Limited | 5.92% | $4.02 | 63.80% |
| 030000.KS | Cheil Worldwide Inc. | 5.91% | $1,232.93 | 68.46% |
| 0RCW.L | Kid ASA | 5.91% | $8.00 | 99.60% |
| ARSA.ME | Arsagera Asset Management | 5.91% | $0.50 | 52.65% |
| DBM.TO | Doman Building Materials Group Ltd. | 5.91% | $0.56 | 65.99% |
| DU.AE | Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company PJSC | 5.91% | $0.58 | 95.05% |
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