Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Khonburi Sugar Public Company Limited (KBS.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food ConfectionersSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$202.07 - $246.88$231.36
Multi-Stage$42.91 - $46.96$44.90
Blended Fair Value$138.13
Current Price$5.75
Upside2,302.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.59%2.61%0.550.500.000.000.060.120.000.050.100.20
YoY Growth--10.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%-50.00%-52.94%
Dividend Yield--10.02%8.79%0.00%0.00%1.88%5.18%0.00%1.14%1.24%2.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)743.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)418.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)324.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)148.6792.9255.75
Cash Retained (M)324.52324.52324.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-148.67-92.92-55.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)175.86231.61268.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)598.80598.80598.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.390.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.700.700.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.390.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.091.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$202.07$231.36$246.88
Upside / Downside3,414.28%3,923.73%4,193.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)743.34791.66843.12897.92956.281,018.441,049.00
Payout Ratio56.34%63.07%69.81%76.54%83.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)418.82499.33588.54687.24796.28916.60970.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)466.56470.98475.41
Year 2 PV (M)513.83523.62533.50
Year 3 PV (M)560.62576.72593.12
Year 4 PV (M)606.95630.29654.30
Year 5 PV (M)652.81684.34717.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,894.4524,000.2625,148.40
Equity Value (M)25,695.2326,886.2128,121.79
Shares Outstanding (M)598.80598.80598.80
Fair Value$42.91$44.90$46.96
Upside / Downside646.29%680.88%716.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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