DDM Analysis: GUNA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$254.25 - $395.06	$319.36
Multi-Stage	$583.22 - $642.64	$612.34
Blended Fair Value	$465.85
Current Price	$268.00
Upside	73.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	8.64	3.24	5.76	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	166.36%	-43.74%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	4.28%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	65,688.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	17,949.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	47,738.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13,137.61	8,211.00	4,926.60
Cash Retained (M)	47,738.55	47,738.55	47,738.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13,137.61	-8,211.00	-4,926.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	34,600.94	39,527.54	42,811.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,437.50	2,437.50	2,437.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	14.20	16.22	17.56
LTM Dividend per Share	7.36	7.36	7.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share	14.20	16.22	17.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend	21.56	23.58	24.93
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$254.25	$319.36	$395.06
Upside / Downside	-5.13%	19.16%	47.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	65,688.03	65,031.15	64,380.83	63,737.03	63,099.66	62,468.66	64,342.72
Payout Ratio	27.33%	39.86%	52.40%	64.93%	77.47%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	17,949.48	25,921.59	33,732.47	41,384.54	48,880.19	56,221.79	59,517.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	24,136.77	24,383.06	24,629.35
Year 2 PV (M)	29,247.11	29,847.03	30,453.05
Year 3 PV (M)	33,411.06	34,444.32	35,498.67
Year 4 PV (M)	36,745.36	38,268.28	39,838.06
Year 5 PV (M)	39,354.25	41,403.52	43,537.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,258,694.94	1,324,238.10	1,392,483.66
Equity Value (M)	1,421,589.49	1,492,584.32	1,566,440.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,437.50	2,437.50	2,437.50
Fair Value	$583.22	$612.34	$642.64
Upside / Downside	117.62%	128.49%	139.79%

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3600.HK	Modern Dental Group Limited	6.03%	$0.32	34.31%
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298540.KQ	The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd.	6.02%	$521.44	76.58%
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0237.HK	Safety Godown Company, Limited	5.99%	$0.12	71.07%
8986.T	Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation	5.99%	$6,829.90	63.32%
ASX.AX	ASX Limited	5.99%	$3.08	67.16%
MKP.TO	MCAN Mortgage Corporation	5.99%	$1.35	74.01%
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8924.TWO	O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.	5.98%	$4.29	80.38%
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HUMAN.BK	Humanica Public Company Limited	5.98%	$0.30	74.76%
603368.SS	Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd	5.97%	$1.06	53.83%
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8442.TW	WW Holding Inc.	5.96%	$4.19	72.79%
NTV.BK	Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited	5.96%	$1.37	66.11%
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0898.HK	Multifield International Holdings Limited	5.94%	$0.06	9.32%
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Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk. (GUNA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener