Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Goel Food Products Limited (GOEL.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.26 - $57.02$47.87
Multi-Stage$63.77 - $70.21$66.93
Blended Fair Value$57.40
Current Price$14.93
Upside284.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)100.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.1212.577.54
Cash Retained (M)98.6998.6998.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.12-12.57-7.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)78.5886.1291.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.8518.8518.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.174.574.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.174.574.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.274.674.93
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$39.26$47.87$57.02
Upside / Downside162.94%220.62%281.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)100.5899.5798.5797.5996.6195.6598.52
Payout Ratio1.87%19.50%37.12%54.75%72.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.8919.4236.5953.4369.9286.0891.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.6917.8718.05
Year 2 PV (M)30.3731.0031.63
Year 3 PV (M)40.4041.6542.93
Year 4 PV (M)48.1750.1752.23
Year 5 PV (M)54.0356.8459.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,011.581,064.261,119.11
Equity Value (M)1,202.251,261.791,323.71
Shares Outstanding (M)18.8518.8518.85
Fair Value$63.77$66.93$70.21
Upside / Downside327.14%348.29%370.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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