DDM Analysis: GOB.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$179.35 - $385.88	$255.93
Multi-Stage	$228.21 - $250.39	$239.09
Blended Fair Value	$247.51
Current Price	$99.64
Upside	148.41%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.86%	4.31%	2.08	2.01	1.66	1.39	0.00	1.42	1.41	1.38	1.35	1.38
YoY Growth	-	-	3.16%	21.61%	19.51%	0.00%	-100.00%	1.27%	2.02%	1.91%	-2.16%	1.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.42%	3.04%	3.63%	2.24%	0.00%	3.90%	4.82%	3.02%	3.05%	3.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,877.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,593.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,284.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	975.50	609.69	365.81
Cash Retained (M)	3,284.50	3,284.50	3,284.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-975.50	-609.69	-365.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,309.00	2,674.81	2,918.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	503.18	503.18	503.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.59	5.32	5.80
LTM Dividend per Share	3.17	3.17	3.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.59	5.32	5.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.75	8.48	8.97
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	2.31%	3.31%	4.31%
Fair Value	$179.35	$255.93	$385.88
Upside / Downside	80.00%	156.86%	287.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,877.50	5,039.14	5,206.14	5,378.67	5,556.92	5,741.07	5,913.30
Payout Ratio	32.66%	44.13%	55.60%	67.06%	78.53%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,593.00	2,223.68	2,894.41	3,607.15	4,363.96	5,166.97	5,469.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	2.31%	3.31%	4.31%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,063.14	2,083.31	2,103.47
Year 2 PV (M)	2,491.58	2,540.52	2,589.94
Year 3 PV (M)	2,880.96	2,966.26	3,053.23
Year 4 PV (M)	3,233.78	3,362.07	3,494.15
Year 5 PV (M)	3,552.41	3,729.44	3,913.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)	100,609.74	105,623.51	110,835.20
Equity Value (M)	114,831.62	120,305.12	125,989.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	503.18	503.18	503.18
Fair Value	$228.21	$239.09	$250.39
Upside / Downside	129.04%	139.95%	151.29%

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Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A. (GOB.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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