DDM Analysis: GEPA3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$43.78 - $67.70	$54.88
Multi-Stage	$101.46 - $111.86	$106.56
Blended Fair Value	$80.72
Current Price	$33.90
Upside	138.11%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	13.79%	-0.51%	4.87	0.78	1.34	2.94	1.33	2.55	3.26	3.66	3.59	2.02
YoY Growth	-	-	522.36%	-41.56%	-54.45%	121.69%	-48.07%	-21.62%	-11.06%	2.10%	77.84%	-60.66%
Dividend Yield	-	-	14.75%	3.07%	5.88%	10.49%	3.23%	6.71%	9.17%	9.63%	10.25%	4.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	445.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	80.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)	365.24

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	89.14	55.71	33.43
Cash Retained (M)	365.24	365.24	365.24
(-) Cash Required (M)	-89.14	-55.71	-33.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)	276.10	309.53	331.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	94.43	94.43	94.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.92	3.28	3.51
LTM Dividend per Share	0.85	0.85	0.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.92	3.28	3.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.78	4.13	4.37
WACC / Discount Rate	6.28%	6.28%	6.28%
Growth Rate	-2.16%	-1.16%	-0.16%
Fair Value	$43.78	$54.88	$67.70
Upside / Downside	29.14%	61.88%	99.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	445.70	440.55	435.46	430.43	425.46	420.55	433.16
Payout Ratio	18.05%	32.44%	46.83%	61.22%	75.61%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	80.46	142.92	203.93	263.52	321.69	378.49	400.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.28%	6.28%	6.28%
Growth Rate	-2.16%	-1.16%	-0.16%
Year 1 PV (M)	133.11	134.47	135.83
Year 2 PV (M)	176.90	180.53	184.20
Year 3 PV (M)	212.89	219.49	226.21
Year 4 PV (M)	242.05	252.10	262.46
Year 5 PV (M)	265.24	279.08	293.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,551.11	8,997.10	9,461.52
Equity Value (M)	9,581.31	10,062.77	10,563.71
Shares Outstanding (M)	94.43	94.43	94.43
Fair Value	$101.46	$106.56	$111.86
Upside / Downside	199.30%	214.34%	229.98%

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Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A. (GEPA3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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