Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Flexsteel Industries, Inc. (FLXS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.24 - $40.55$34.26
Multi-Stage$48.25 - $53.09$50.62
Blended Fair Value$42.44
Current Price$46.35
Upside-8.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-12.72%-3.57%0.640.580.590.710.471.271.251.221.100.99
YoY Growth--10.47%-0.68%-17.13%49.16%-62.66%1.50%2.55%11.28%11.13%6.65%
Dividend Yield--1.39%1.31%2.82%4.50%1.53%5.29%8.44%4.05%2.16%1.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.502.811.69
Cash Retained (M)18.6818.6818.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.50-2.81-1.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.1815.8616.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.535.535.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.562.873.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.690.690.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.562.873.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.253.563.76
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate-2.57%-1.57%-0.57%
Fair Value$28.24$34.26$40.55
Upside / Downside-39.07%-26.09%-12.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.5122.1521.8021.4621.1320.8021.42
Payout Ratio17.01%31.61%46.21%60.81%75.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.837.0010.0813.0515.9318.7219.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate-2.57%-1.57%-0.57%
Year 1 PV (M)6.386.446.51
Year 2 PV (M)8.368.538.71
Year 3 PV (M)9.8710.1710.49
Year 4 PV (M)10.9711.4311.90
Year 5 PV (M)11.7412.3613.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)219.59231.10243.08
Equity Value (M)266.91280.03293.68
Shares Outstanding (M)5.535.535.53
Fair Value$48.25$50.62$53.09
Upside / Downside4.10%9.21%14.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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