DDM Analysis: ELIT.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$130.46 - $199.03	$162.57
Multi-Stage	$275.20 - $302.96	$288.80
Blended Fair Value	$225.69
Current Price	$190.00
Upside	18.78%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	5.02	3.52	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	42.82%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.84%	3.41%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	29,688.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10,099.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19,588.61

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,937.68	3,711.05	2,226.63
Cash Retained (M)	19,588.61	19,588.61	19,588.61
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,937.68	-3,711.05	-2,226.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	13,650.93	15,877.56	17,361.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,021.72	2,021.72	2,021.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.75	7.85	8.59
LTM Dividend per Share	5.00	5.00	5.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.75	7.85	8.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend	11.75	12.85	13.58
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$130.46	$162.57	$199.03
Upside / Downside	-31.34%	-14.44%	4.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	29,688.41	29,391.52	29,097.61	28,806.63	28,518.57	28,233.38	29,080.38
Payout Ratio	34.02%	45.22%	56.41%	67.61%	78.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10,099.80	13,289.52	16,414.43	19,475.51	22,473.73	25,410.04	26,899.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,314.82	12,440.48	12,566.14
Year 2 PV (M)	14,094.94	14,384.06	14,676.11
Year 3 PV (M)	15,496.90	15,976.16	16,465.19
Year 4 PV (M)	16,571.05	17,257.84	17,965.76
Year 5 PV (M)	17,361.96	18,266.04	19,207.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)	480,533.22	505,555.70	531,609.87
Equity Value (M)	556,372.88	583,880.27	612,490.46
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,021.72	2,021.72	2,021.72
Fair Value	$275.20	$288.80	$302.96
Upside / Downside	44.84%	52.00%	59.45%

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PT Data Sinergitama Jaya Tbk (ELIT.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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