DDM Analysis: CHDRAUIB.MX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$200.15 - $819.62	$343.23
Multi-Stage	$123.14 - $134.68	$128.80
Blended Fair Value	$236.02
Current Price	$149.00
Upside	58.40%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	23.75%	0.00%	1.18	0.93	0.52	0.48	0.45	0.41	0.39	0.33	0.26	0.25
YoY Growth	-	-	26.82%	78.22%	10.00%	7.01%	9.09%	4.14%	18.40%	29.26%	2.12%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.03%	0.70%	0.51%	0.93%	1.38%	1.63%	1.01%	0.86%	0.63%	0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,401.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,006.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,395.52

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,280.31	800.20	480.12
Cash Retained (M)	5,395.52	5,395.52	5,395.52
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,280.31	-800.20	-480.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,115.21	4,595.32	4,915.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	961.39	961.39	961.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.28	4.78	5.11
LTM Dividend per Share	1.05	1.05	1.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.28	4.78	5.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.33	5.83	6.16
WACC / Discount Rate	8.31%	8.31%	8.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$200.15	$343.23	$819.62
Upside / Downside	34.33%	130.36%	450.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,401.56	6,817.67	7,260.81	7,732.77	8,235.40	8,770.70	9,033.82
Payout Ratio	15.72%	30.57%	45.43%	60.29%	75.14%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,006.04	2,084.33	3,298.54	4,661.79	6,188.33	7,893.63	8,356.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.31%	8.31%	8.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,906.38	1,924.45	1,942.52
Year 2 PV (M)	2,759.36	2,811.91	2,864.97
Year 3 PV (M)	3,566.83	3,669.22	3,773.55
Year 4 PV (M)	4,330.58	4,497.12	4,668.42
Year 5 PV (M)	5,052.33	5,296.36	5,549.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	100,765.21	105,632.20	110,685.47
Equity Value (M)	118,380.67	123,831.26	129,484.65
Shares Outstanding (M)	961.39	961.39	961.39
Fair Value	$123.14	$128.80	$134.68
Upside / Downside	-17.36%	-13.55%	-9.61%

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Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. (CHDRAUIB.MX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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