Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock (CBK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BanksSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.49 - $36.25$29.41
Multi-Stage$51.16 - $56.42$53.74
Blended Fair Value$41.58
Current Price$24.00
Upside73.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.120.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--33.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.534.082.45
Cash Retained (M)30.6730.6730.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.53-4.08-2.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.1326.5828.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.8412.8412.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.882.072.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.882.072.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.042.232.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$23.49$29.41$36.25
Upside / Downside-2.14%22.56%51.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.6732.3432.0231.7031.3831.0732.00
Payout Ratio6.13%22.90%39.68%56.45%73.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.007.4112.7017.8922.9827.9629.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6.896.967.03
Year 2 PV (M)10.9811.2011.43
Year 3 PV (M)14.3714.8215.27
Year 4 PV (M)17.1617.8718.60
Year 5 PV (M)19.4020.4121.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)588.12618.74650.63
Equity Value (M)656.91689.99724.42
Shares Outstanding (M)12.8412.8412.84
Fair Value$51.16$53.74$56.42
Upside / Downside113.17%123.91%135.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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