Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Jumbo S.A. (BELA.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.57 - $466.24$192.09
Multi-Stage$57.58 - $62.93$60.21
Blended Fair Value$126.15
Current Price$25.56
Upside393.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.602.950.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---45.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.26%11.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)320.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)217.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.0240.0124.01
Cash Retained (M)102.40102.40102.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.02-40.01-24.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.3862.3978.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.95135.95135.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.460.58
LTM Dividend per Share1.601.601.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.460.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.882.062.18
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.04%6.04%7.04%
Fair Value$92.57$192.09$466.24
Upside / Downside262.18%651.54%1,724.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)320.10339.42359.91381.63404.67429.10441.97
Payout Ratio68.01%72.41%76.81%81.20%85.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)217.70245.77276.43309.90346.41386.19408.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.04%6.04%7.04%
Year 1 PV (M)227.15229.31231.48
Year 2 PV (M)236.14240.66245.22
Year 3 PV (M)244.69251.74258.93
Year 4 PV (M)252.80262.56272.61
Year 5 PV (M)260.49273.12286.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,606.866,927.417,260.29
Equity Value (M)7,828.138,184.828,554.78
Shares Outstanding (M)135.95135.95135.95
Fair Value$57.58$60.21$62.93
Upside / Downside125.28%135.54%146.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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