DDM Analysis: BCH-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$33.14 - $103.93	$97.40
Multi-Stage	$14.40 - $15.73	$15.06
Blended Fair Value	$56.23
Current Price	$13.00
Upside	332.52%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.96%	11.03%	0.37	0.51	1.41	0.33	0.23	0.22	0.23	0.18	0.14	0.12
YoY Growth	-	-	-26.00%	-64.29%	324.98%	43.23%	4.55%	-4.35%	27.78%	28.57%	16.66%	-7.69%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.67%	2.45%	6.93%	1.62%	1.58%	1.95%	1.35%	1.06%	1.09%	1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,289.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,072.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)	217.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	257.98	161.24	96.74
Cash Retained (M)	217.60	217.60	217.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-257.98	-161.24	-96.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-40.38	56.37	120.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,468.23	2,468.23	2,468.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.02	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.43	0.43	0.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.02	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.48
WACC / Discount Rate	6.83%	6.83%	6.83%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$33.14	$97.40	$103.93
Upside / Downside	154.95%	649.23%	699.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,289.90	1,373.75	1,463.04	1,558.14	1,659.42	1,767.28	1,820.30
Payout Ratio	83.13%	84.50%	85.88%	87.25%	88.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,072.30	1,160.87	1,256.43	1,359.51	1,470.67	1,590.55	1,683.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.83%	6.83%	6.83%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,076.44	1,086.65	1,096.85
Year 2 PV (M)	1,080.32	1,100.89	1,121.67
Year 3 PV (M)	1,083.93	1,115.04	1,146.75
Year 4 PV (M)	1,087.28	1,129.09	1,172.10
Year 5 PV (M)	1,090.38	1,143.05	1,197.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	30,131.76	31,587.14	33,098.22
Equity Value (M)	35,550.12	37,161.87	38,833.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,468.23	2,468.23	2,468.23
Fair Value	$14.40	$15.06	$15.73
Upside / Downside	10.79%	15.82%	21.02%

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3600.HK	Modern Dental Group Limited	6.03%	$0.32	34.31%
003460.KS	Yuhwa Securities co.,ltd.	6.02%	$162.45	83.00%
298540.KQ	The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd.	6.02%	$521.44	76.58%
6263.TWO	Planet Technology Corporation	6.02%	$7.86	95.87%
NZX.NZ	NZX Limited	6.02%	$0.09	77.46%
WLMM3.SA	WLM Participações e Comércio de Máquinas e Veículos S.A.	6.02%	$1.23	40.06%
1760.HK	Intron Technology Holdings Limited	6.01%	$0.12	30.56%
5209.KL	Gas Malaysia Berhad	6.01%	$0.26	82.61%
ALLAN.PA	Lanson-BCC	6.01%	$1.96	26.09%
QAMC.QA	Qatar Aluminium Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C.	6.00%	$0.10	74.36%
0237.HK	Safety Godown Company, Limited	5.99%	$0.12	71.07%
8986.T	Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation	5.99%	$6,829.90	63.32%
ASX.AX	ASX Limited	5.99%	$3.08	67.16%
MKP.TO	MCAN Mortgage Corporation	5.99%	$1.35	74.01%
0QMU.L	Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A.	5.98%	$6.91	67.79%
8924.TWO	O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.	5.98%	$4.29	80.38%
FMTY14.MX	Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V.	5.98%	$0.93	46.45%
HUMAN.BK	Humanica Public Company Limited	5.98%	$0.30	74.76%
603368.SS	Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd	5.97%	$1.06	53.83%
6069.HK	SY Holdings Group Limited	5.97%	$0.67	97.72%
ASII.JK	PT Astra International Tbk	5.97%	$405.75	50.28%
PXT.TO	Parex Resources Inc.	5.97%	$1.12	86.22%
SB	Safe Bulkers, Inc.	5.97%	$0.29	64.01%
1562.KL	Sports Toto Berhad	5.96%	$0.08	49.23%
8442.TW	WW Holding Inc.	5.96%	$4.19	72.79%
NTV.BK	Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited	5.96%	$1.37	66.11%
WLE.AX	WAM Leaders Limited	5.96%	$0.08	8.04%
094280.KS	Hyosung ITX Co. Ltd.	5.95%	$751.76	70.97%
O3P.DE	Österreichische Post AG	5.95%	$1.88	98.14%
PWO.DE	PWO AG	5.95%	$1.75	48.89%
0898.HK	Multifield International Holdings Limited	5.94%	$0.06	9.32%
1155.KL	Malayan Banking Berhad	5.94%	$0.62	72.18%
PORT3.SA	Wilson Sons S.A.	5.94%	$1.11	73.49%
009680.KS	Motonic Corporation	5.93%	$599.08	42.49%
3010.SR	Arabian Cement Company	5.93%	$1.29	91.83%
PGW.NZ	PGG Wrightson Limited	5.93%	$0.13	70.38%
0GX2.L	Neurones S.A.	5.92%	$2.49	61.25%
4012.SR	Thob Al Aseel Company	5.92%	$0.20	89.05%
9585.SR	Mulkia Investment Co.	5.92%	$2.01	37.97%
HEN.DE	Henkel AG & Co. KGaA	5.92%	$3.87	41.88%
KKP.BK	Kiatnakin Phatra Bank Public Company Limited	5.92%	$4.02	63.80%
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0RCW.L	Kid ASA	5.91%	$8.00	99.60%
ARSA.ME	Arsagera Asset Management	5.91%	$0.50	52.65%
DBM.TO	Doman Building Materials Group Ltd.	5.91%	$0.56	65.99%
DU.AE	Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company PJSC	5.91%	$0.58	95.05%
NXR-UN.TO	Nexus Industrial REIT	5.91%	$0.47	57.77%

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Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company Limited (BCH-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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