DDM Analysis: BBLD.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$232.85 - $341.05	$284.98
Multi-Stage	$372.41 - $408.55	$390.13
Blended Fair Value	$337.56
Current Price	$745.00
Upside	-54.69%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.39%	-10.40%	19.98	15.99	6.00	4.00	0.00	13.99	15.99	15.99	17.99	59.96
YoY Growth	-	-	25.00%	166.67%	50.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-12.50%	0.00%	-11.11%	-70.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.33%	2.91%	1.18%	0.99%	0.00%	3.19%	3.52%	3.14%	2.10%	4.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	49,898.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19,755.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	30,143.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9,979.60	6,237.25	3,742.35
Cash Retained (M)	30,143.00	30,143.00	30,143.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9,979.60	-6,237.25	-3,742.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	20,163.40	23,905.75	26,400.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,645.80	1,645.80	1,645.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	12.25	14.53	16.04
LTM Dividend per Share	12.00	12.00	12.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	12.25	14.53	16.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	24.25	26.53	28.04
WACC / Discount Rate	8.96%	8.96%	8.96%
Growth Rate	-1.32%	-0.32%	0.68%
Fair Value	$232.85	$284.98	$341.05
Upside / Downside	-68.74%	-61.75%	-54.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	49,898.00	49,739.20	49,580.91	49,423.12	49,265.83	49,109.04	50,582.32
Payout Ratio	39.59%	49.67%	59.75%	69.84%	79.92%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19,755.00	24,706.76	29,626.80	34,515.28	39,372.34	44,198.14	46,788.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.96%	8.96%	8.96%
Growth Rate	-1.32%	-0.32%	0.68%
Year 1 PV (M)	22,447.41	22,674.88	22,902.35
Year 2 PV (M)	24,456.01	24,954.18	25,457.37
Year 3 PV (M)	25,885.86	26,680.81	27,491.88
Year 4 PV (M)	26,828.29	27,932.39	29,070.24
Year 5 PV (M)	27,362.52	28,777.31	30,250.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	485,935.96	511,061.41	537,215.58
Equity Value (M)	612,916.04	642,080.98	672,387.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,645.80	1,645.80	1,645.80
Fair Value	$372.41	$390.13	$408.55
Upside / Downside	-50.01%	-47.63%	-45.16%

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3600.HK	Modern Dental Group Limited	6.03%	$0.32	34.31%
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298540.KQ	The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd.	6.02%	$521.44	76.58%
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NZX.NZ	NZX Limited	6.02%	$0.09	77.46%
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5209.KL	Gas Malaysia Berhad	6.01%	$0.26	82.61%
ALLAN.PA	Lanson-BCC	6.01%	$1.96	26.09%
QAMC.QA	Qatar Aluminium Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C.	6.00%	$0.10	74.36%
0237.HK	Safety Godown Company, Limited	5.99%	$0.12	71.07%
8986.T	Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation	5.99%	$6,829.90	63.32%
ASX.AX	ASX Limited	5.99%	$3.08	67.16%
MKP.TO	MCAN Mortgage Corporation	5.99%	$1.35	74.01%
0QMU.L	Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A.	5.98%	$6.91	67.79%
8924.TWO	O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.	5.98%	$4.29	80.38%
FMTY14.MX	Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V.	5.98%	$0.93	46.45%
HUMAN.BK	Humanica Public Company Limited	5.98%	$0.30	74.76%
603368.SS	Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd	5.97%	$1.06	53.83%
6069.HK	SY Holdings Group Limited	5.97%	$0.67	97.72%
ASII.JK	PT Astra International Tbk	5.97%	$405.75	50.28%
PXT.TO	Parex Resources Inc.	5.97%	$1.12	86.22%
SB	Safe Bulkers, Inc.	5.97%	$0.29	64.01%
1562.KL	Sports Toto Berhad	5.96%	$0.08	49.23%
8442.TW	WW Holding Inc.	5.96%	$4.19	72.79%
NTV.BK	Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited	5.96%	$1.37	66.11%
WLE.AX	WAM Leaders Limited	5.96%	$0.08	8.04%
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PWO.DE	PWO AG	5.95%	$1.75	48.89%
0898.HK	Multifield International Holdings Limited	5.94%	$0.06	9.32%
1155.KL	Malayan Banking Berhad	5.94%	$0.62	72.18%
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Financial Statements

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PT Buana Finance Tbk (BBLD.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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