DDM Analysis: ASLC.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.25 - $28.70	$24.42
Multi-Stage	$29.70 - $32.65	$31.15
Blended Fair Value	$27.78
Current Price	$64.00
Upside	-56.59%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.15	0.37	0.00	0.00	1.96	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-58.33%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.22%	0.36%	0.00%	0.00%	0.61%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	39,309.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,800.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	36,508.97

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7,861.83	4,913.65	2,948.19
Cash Retained (M)	36,508.97	36,508.97	36,508.97
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7,861.83	-4,913.65	-2,948.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)	28,647.13	31,595.32	33,560.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	12,746.36	12,746.36	12,746.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.25	2.48	2.63
LTM Dividend per Share	0.22	0.22	0.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.25	2.48	2.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.47	2.70	2.85
WACC / Discount Rate	9.94%	9.94%	9.94%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$20.25	$24.42	$28.70
Upside / Downside	-68.36%	-61.84%	-55.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	39,309.17	38,916.08	38,526.91	38,141.65	37,760.23	37,382.63	38,504.11
Payout Ratio	7.12%	23.70%	40.27%	56.85%	73.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,800.20	9,222.65	15,516.37	21,683.30	27,725.34	33,644.36	35,616.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.94%	9.94%	9.94%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	8,304.09	8,388.82	8,473.56
Year 2 PV (M)	12,579.48	12,837.51	13,098.16
Year 3 PV (M)	15,828.28	16,317.78	16,817.27
Year 4 PV (M)	18,223.06	18,978.32	19,756.82
Year 5 PV (M)	19,911.00	20,947.81	22,027.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	303,728.59	319,544.44	336,012.39
Equity Value (M)	378,574.50	397,014.69	416,185.58
Shares Outstanding (M)	12,746.36	12,746.36	12,746.36
Fair Value	$29.70	$31.15	$32.65
Upside / Downside	-53.59%	-51.33%	-48.98%

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3600.HK	Modern Dental Group Limited	6.03%	$0.32	34.31%
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298540.KQ	The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd.	6.02%	$521.44	76.58%
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NZX.NZ	NZX Limited	6.02%	$0.09	77.46%
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ALLAN.PA	Lanson-BCC	6.01%	$1.96	26.09%
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0237.HK	Safety Godown Company, Limited	5.99%	$0.12	71.07%
8986.T	Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation	5.99%	$6,829.90	63.32%
ASX.AX	ASX Limited	5.99%	$3.08	67.16%
MKP.TO	MCAN Mortgage Corporation	5.99%	$1.35	74.01%
0QMU.L	Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A.	5.98%	$6.91	67.79%
8924.TWO	O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.	5.98%	$4.29	80.38%
FMTY14.MX	Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V.	5.98%	$0.93	46.45%
HUMAN.BK	Humanica Public Company Limited	5.98%	$0.30	74.76%
603368.SS	Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd	5.97%	$1.06	53.83%
6069.HK	SY Holdings Group Limited	5.97%	$0.67	97.72%
ASII.JK	PT Astra International Tbk	5.97%	$405.75	50.28%
PXT.TO	Parex Resources Inc.	5.97%	$1.12	86.22%
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1562.KL	Sports Toto Berhad	5.96%	$0.08	49.23%
8442.TW	WW Holding Inc.	5.96%	$4.19	72.79%
NTV.BK	Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited	5.96%	$1.37	66.11%
WLE.AX	WAM Leaders Limited	5.96%	$0.08	8.04%
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PWO.DE	PWO AG	5.95%	$1.75	48.89%
0898.HK	Multifield International Holdings Limited	5.94%	$0.06	9.32%
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Financial Statements

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PT Autopedia Sukses Lestari Tbk (ASLC.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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