Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Keppel DC REIT (AJBU.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.84 - $32.09$27.85
Multi-Stage$4.11 - $4.50$4.30
Blended Fair Value$16.07
Current Price$2.33
Upside589.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.87%10.06%0.080.090.070.090.050.060.040.040.030.02
YoY Growth---12.93%19.60%-19.28%76.20%-18.39%54.22%13.30%23.88%85.98%-46.40%
Dividend Yield--3.52%5.05%3.56%3.69%1.84%3.04%2.78%2.56%2.49%1.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)326.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)166.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)159.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.2340.7724.46
Cash Retained (M)159.21159.21159.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.23-40.77-24.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.98118.44134.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,021.202,021.202,021.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.84$27.85$32.09
Upside / Downside279.56%1,095.21%1,277.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)326.15347.35369.92393.97419.58446.85460.25
Payout Ratio51.19%58.95%66.71%74.47%82.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)166.94204.76246.78293.41345.05402.16425.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)189.49191.29193.09
Year 2 PV (M)211.36215.39219.45
Year 3 PV (M)232.56239.24246.04
Year 4 PV (M)253.11262.84272.85
Year 5 PV (M)273.02286.20299.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,153.967,499.507,858.26
Equity Value (M)8,313.508,694.469,089.59
Shares Outstanding (M)2,021.202,021.202,021.20
Fair Value$4.11$4.30$4.50
Upside / Downside76.53%84.62%93.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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