DDM Analysis: AGUAS-A.SN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$190.33 - $295.61	$239.02
Multi-Stage	$450.44 - $495.41	$472.49
Blended Fair Value	$355.76
Current Price	$340.00
Upside	4.63%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-6.65%	0.00%	14.73	14.81	12.45	17.68	17.36	20.77	23.43	23.12	22.01	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.56%	18.96%	-29.57%	1.83%	-16.43%	-11.33%	1.31%	5.06%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.30%	5.22%	5.53%	10.52%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	123,600.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	87,025.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)	36,575.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	24,720.08	15,450.05	9,270.03
Cash Retained (M)	36,575.05	36,575.05	36,575.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-24,720.08	-15,450.05	-9,270.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,854.97	21,125.00	27,305.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,118.01	6,118.01	6,118.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.94	3.45	4.46
LTM Dividend per Share	14.22	14.22	14.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.94	3.45	4.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.16	17.68	18.69
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$190.33	$239.02	$295.61
Upside / Downside	-44.02%	-29.70%	-13.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	123,600.39	122,364.39	121,140.75	119,929.34	118,730.05	117,542.74	121,069.03
Payout Ratio	70.41%	74.33%	78.25%	82.16%	86.08%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	87,025.34	90,949.66	94,786.79	98,538.08	102,204.87	105,788.47	111,988.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	84,677.92	85,541.98	86,406.04
Year 2 PV (M)	82,164.84	83,850.23	85,552.73
Year 3 PV (M)	79,526.41	81,985.82	84,495.42
Year 4 PV (M)	76,797.65	79,980.56	83,261.39
Year 5 PV (M)	74,008.87	77,862.69	81,875.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,358,650.96	2,481,471.39	2,609,355.79
Equity Value (M)	2,755,826.66	2,890,692.66	3,030,946.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,118.01	6,118.01	6,118.01
Fair Value	$450.44	$472.49	$495.41
Upside / Downside	32.48%	38.97%	45.71%

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Aguas Andinas S.A. (AGUAS-A.SN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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