DDM Analysis: AFLT.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$167.60 - $243.95	$204.56
Multi-Stage	$359.55 - $396.95	$377.87
Blended Fair Value	$291.22
Current Price	$66.33
Upside	339.04%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-66.93%	-41.63%	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.13	0.84	3.70	4.80	0.01	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	-89.17%	471.43%	50.00%	-97.30%	-84.24%	-77.40%	-22.89%	38,387.76%	-44.32%	-96.89%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.06%	0.02%	0.01%	0.20%	1.22%	3.79%	3.09%	0.01%	0.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	90,125.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	118.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	90,007.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18,025.00	11,265.63	6,759.38
Cash Retained (M)	90,007.00	90,007.00	90,007.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18,025.00	-11,265.63	-6,759.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)	71,982.00	78,741.38	83,247.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,928.00	3,928.00	3,928.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	18.33	20.05	21.19
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	18.33	20.05	21.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	18.36	20.08	21.22
WACC / Discount Rate	7.10%	7.10%	7.10%
Growth Rate	-3.47%	-2.47%	-1.47%
Fair Value	$167.60	$204.56	$243.95
Upside / Downside	152.67%	208.39%	267.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	90,125.00	87,900.24	85,730.40	83,614.13	81,550.10	79,537.01	81,923.12
Payout Ratio	0.13%	18.10%	36.08%	54.05%	72.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	118.00	15,914.11	30,930.29	45,195.42	58,737.42	71,583.31	75,778.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.10%	7.10%	7.10%
Growth Rate	-3.47%	-2.47%	-1.47%
Year 1 PV (M)	14,706.26	14,858.61	15,010.95
Year 2 PV (M)	26,413.36	26,963.44	27,519.20
Year 3 PV (M)	35,665.95	36,785.90	37,929.05
Year 4 PV (M)	42,834.54	44,637.26	46,496.29
Year 5 PV (M)	48,240.39	50,791.39	53,449.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,244,443.08	1,310,250.36	1,378,812.61
Equity Value (M)	1,412,303.58	1,484,286.95	1,559,217.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,928.00	3,928.00	3,928.00
Fair Value	$359.55	$377.87	$396.95
Upside / Downside	442.06%	469.69%	498.45%

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Financial Statements

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PJSC Aeroflot - Russian Airlines (AFLT.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener