Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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abrdn Asia Focus plc (AAS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.53 - $7.91$6.70
Multi-Stage$8.55 - $9.40$8.97
Blended Fair Value$7.83
Current Price$3.43
Upside128.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.65%8.35%0.070.060.080.080.040.040.040.030.020.04
YoY Growth--11.25%-20.89%-0.03%107.78%-5.09%8.30%6.74%47.35%-33.27%13.10%
Dividend Yield--2.03%2.25%3.00%3.10%1.43%2.07%1.63%1.69%1.09%2.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)127.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)110.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.4515.919.54
Cash Retained (M)110.91110.91110.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.45-15.91-9.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)85.4695.01101.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)158.70158.70158.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.53$6.70$7.91
Upside / Downside61.18%95.26%130.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)127.26125.99124.73123.48122.25121.02124.65
Payout Ratio12.84%28.28%43.71%59.14%74.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.3535.6254.5173.0291.16108.92115.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)32.2432.5732.90
Year 2 PV (M)44.6645.5746.50
Year 3 PV (M)54.1455.8257.52
Year 4 PV (M)61.1763.7166.32
Year 5 PV (M)66.1569.6073.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,099.161,156.391,215.99
Equity Value (M)1,357.521,423.661,492.41
Shares Outstanding (M)158.70158.70158.70
Fair Value$8.55$8.97$9.40
Upside / Downside149.38%161.53%174.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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